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Serum Mac-2-binding protein glycosylation isomer at virological remission predicts hepatocellular carcinoma and death in chronic hepatitis B related cirrhosis [url=]Tung-Hung Su, MD[/url], [url=]Cheng-Yuan Peng, MD[/url], [url=]Tai-Chung Tseng, MD[/url], [url=]Hung-Chih Yang, MD[/url], [url=]Chun-Jen Liu, MD[/url], [url=]Chen-Hua Liu, MD[/url], [url=]Pei-Jer Chen, MD[/url], [url=]Ding-Shinn Chen, MD[/url], [url=]Jia-Horng Kao, MD[/url]
The Journal of Infectious Diseases, jiz496, https://doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiz496
Published:
01 October 2019
[url=]Article history[/url]
AbstractBackground
To investigate serum Mac-2-binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) levels in predicting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and mortality at virological remission (VR, HBV DNA <20 IU/mL) following antiviral therapy in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with cirrhosis.
Methods
This retrospective cohort study included patients with CHB-related Child-Pugh A cirrhosis undergoing long-term antiviral therapy. Serum M2BPGi levels were quantified and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to identify risk predictors for HCC and death.
Results
A total of 126 and 145 patients were included in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. The mean age was 56, and the mean M2BPGi level was 1.86 cut-off index (COI) in the derivation cohort. After adjustment for confounders, a higher M2BPGi level at VR significantly predicted HCC (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.58, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.19-2.10, P=0.002) and death (HR: 2.17, 95% CI: 1.02-4.62, P=0.044). The M2BPGi ≥3 COI significantly increased the risk of HCC and death in the derivation and validation cohorts. Serial M2BPGi levels declined significantly (P=0.0001) in non-HCC patients only, and remained significantly lower than those who developed HCC afterwards (P=0.039).
Conclusions
Serum M2BPGi levels at antiviral therapy-induced VR predict HCC development and death in patients with CHB-related Child-Pugh A cirrhosis.
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