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Multiple-Target Blood Test Detects Liver Cancer After Cirrhosis
Jagpreet Chhatwal, PhD
For surveillance of patients with cirrhosis, a novel blood test found more hepatocellular carcinoma at an early stage than ultrasound, according to a modeling study presented at the 2022 ASCO Gastrointestinal Cancers Symposium.
Clinical guidelines recommend ultrasound with or without the serum biomarker alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) for the surveillance of individuals at risk for HCC, but only about one-fourth of patients adhere to this practice, according to investigator Jagpreet Chhatwal, PhD. Only one- third of patients who develop HCC are diagnosed before developing symptoms, added Dr. Chhatwal, the director of the Institute for Technology Assessment at Massachusetts General Hospital and an assistant professor at Harvard Medical School, both in Boston.
The new blood test, a multiple-target blood-based test (mt-HBT) that incorporates four methylated DNA markers and two protein markers has shown sensitivity for early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in previous studies. The test, developed by Exact Sciences, has been granted a breakthrough device designation by the FDA.
“By decreasing surveillance barriers and increasing adherence, mt-HBTs could improve the detection of liver cancer at an early stage and could be a promising option for surveillance in patients with cirrhosis,” Dr. Chhatwal said.
The researchers developed a microsimulation model of the natural history of HCC in patients with compensated cirrhosis (Child-Pugh class A) over a 30-year period. The simulated population was an average age of 51 years and 71% male; underlying disease etiology was mainly hepatitis C (29%), hepatitis B (11%), alcohol-associated liver disease (22%) and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (29%). Model parameters were extracted from published studies, and adherence to surveillance was estimated from the literature.
The study compared no surveillance with biannual surveillance using ultrasound only, AFP only, ultrasound plus AFP, mt-HBT, and mt-HBT with “improved” adherence (i.e., adherence to the recommended schedule of biannual testing) (abstract 405).
The team estimated the performance of these tests based on information from published studies. “We assumed a blood-based test, without ultrasound, would improve surveillance adherence by 10%—that is, showing about a 4% absolute improvement” over the current scenario , Dr. Chhatwal said.
Best Detection With mt-HBT/Surveillance Combo
Per 100,000 cirrhosis patients who developed early-stage HCC, mt-HBT detected 57% more than AFP and 21% more than ultrasound, but 3% less than ultrasound plus AFP (Table). With the addition of improved adherence, mt-HBT detected 3% more early-stage HCC than ultrasound plus AFP, Dr. Chhatwal reported.
Table. Cases of HCC Detected Via Surveillance Per 100,000 Cirrhosis Patients
Modality Early-stage Late-stage Total Detection
HCC, n HCC, n rate %
%
AFP 3,965 1,301 5,266 30.4
Ultrasound 5,138 1,879 7,017 40.4
Ultrasound plus AFP 6,420 1,526 7,946 45.8
mt-HBT 6,216 1,695 7,911 45.6
mt-HBT with improved adherence 6,632 1,754 8,385 48.3
AFP, alpha-fetoprotein; mt-HBT, multiple-target blood-based test.
Compared with no surveillance, mt-HBT provided 53% more patient life-years than AFP and 21% more life-years than ultrasound but 1% fewer life-years than the ultrasound plus AFP combination. Quality-of-life years gained with mt -HBT were 18% more than with AFP and 7% more than with ultrasound, but 0.3% fewer than with ultrasound plus AFP surveillance.
Similarly, with the addition of improved adherence to mt-HBT surveillance, outcomes improved over ultrasound plus AFP, and the test yielded 3% more life-years and 2% more quality-of-life years.
A Need for More Research
Although the mt-HBT blood test for HCC surveillance received a breakthrough designation, liver disease specialist Augusto Villanueva Rodriguez, MD, PhD, said he will hold off using it in his academic practice. “The performance of this blood test is good but still not excellent. I want to wait for one with excellent performance before using it in my practice,” said Dr. Villanueva Rodriguez, an associate professor of medicine at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, in New York City.
He noted that the simulation study assumed, based on available data, that with good adherence to the surveillance schedule, the mt-HBT test would improve HCC detection by 10%. The result was a 3% increase, which, he said, was “ not a huge improvement.”
—Caroline Helwick
The study was funded by Exact Sciences. Dr. Chhatwal reported financial relationships with Bayer and Flatiron, and serving as a partner with Value Analytics Labs. Dr. Villanueva Rodriguez reported no relevant financial disclosures. |
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