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Dynamic monitoring with shear wave elastography predicts outcomes of chronic hepatitis B patients with decompensated cirrhosis
Junzhao Ye 1 , Yang Huang 2 , Yanhong Sun 3 , Congxiang Shao 1 , Shenghong Zhang 1 , Wei Wang 2 , Bihui Zhong 1
Affiliations
Affiliations
1
Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
2
Department of Ultrasound, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
3
Department of Clinical Laboratory, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
PMID: 34926657 PMCID: PMC8640914 DOI: 10.21037/atm-21-3142
Abstract
Background: Two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D-SWE) can be used to accurately assess significant liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B (CHB). However, whether those with decompensated cirrhosis could benefit from surveillance with 2D-SWE remains unclear. We aimed to evaluate the association between dynamic changes in 2D-SWE measurements and the prognosis of CHB-related decompensated cirrhosis.
Methods: We prospectively enrolled 149 consecutive treatment-naive CHB patients with decompensated cirrhosis from a clinical trial (registration number: ChiCTR-DCD-15006000) from February 2015 to December 2018. 2D-SWE was performed at 48-week intervals until December 2020. Liver-related events (LREs) were recorded through electronic medical records and telephone interviews.
Results: The liver stiffness measurement (LSM) levels persistently reduced after antiviral therapy in patients who did not develop LREs, while patients with LREs showed a fluctuating trend of LSM alterations. Low pre-treatment 2D-SWE LSM, ∆% 2D-SWE LSM pre-virus control, and ∆% 2D-SWE LSM pre-post treatment were characterized by similar prognostic abilities as high levels of these parameters. Post-treatment 2D-SWE LSM was independently correlated with LREs in multivariate Cox regression models after antiviral treatments [hazard ratio (HR) =1.05; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.02-1.08, P=0.0007 and 1.11; 95% CI: 1.04-1.18, P=0.0026]. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis identified that post-treatment 2D-SWE LSM exhibited the best predictive power for LREs among all the other variables, including parameters of 2D-SWE and serum fibrosis markers (area under the curve =0.75, P<0.001).
Conclusions: The last follow-up LSM, rather than pre-treatment or dynamic changes in 2D-SWE serves as a powerful predictor of LREs, suggesting that sequential monitoring may be beneficial to predicting prognosis.
Keywords: Two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D-SWE); chronic hepatitis B (CHB); decompensated cirrhosis; liver stiffness measurements (LSMs); prognosis.
2021 Annals of Translational Medicine. All rights reserved. |
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