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Determinants of mortality in patients with cirrhosis and uncontrolled variceal bleeding
Rahul Kumar
Annarein J.C. Kerbert
M. Faisal Sheikh
Banwari Agarwal
David Patch
Rajiv Jalan
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Published:June 16, 2020DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhep.2020.06.010
Highlights
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Failure to control variceal bleeding in cirrhosis is associated with high mortality and frequently causes ACLF.
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ACLF is the most important determinant of 42-day and 1-year mortality in cirrhotic patients with failure to control variceal bleeding.
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Transjugular intrahepatic shunt insertion improves 42-day and 1-year survival in patients with ACLF secondary to failure to control variceal bleeding.
Background & Aims
Failure to control oesophago-gastric variceal bleeding (OGVB) and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) are both important prognostic factors in cirrhosis. The aims of this study were to determine whether ACLF and its severity define the risk of death in OGVB and whether insertion of rescue transjugular intrahepatic shunt (TIPS) improves survival in patients with failure to control OGVB and ACLF.
Methods
Data on 174 consecutive eligible patients, with failure to control OGVB between 2005 and 2015, were collected from a prospectively maintained intensive care unit registry. Rescue TIPS was defined as technically successful TIPS within 72 hours of presentation with failure to control OGVB. Cox-proportional hazards regression analyses were applied to explore the impact of ACLF and TIPS on survival in patients with failure to control OGVB.
Results
Patients with ACLF (n = 119) were significantly older, had organ failures and higher white cell count than patients with acute decompensation (AD, n = 55). Mortality at 42-days and 1-year was significantly higher in patients with ACLF (47.9% and 61.3%) than in those with AD (9.1% and 12.7%, p <0.001), whereas there was no difference in the number of endoscopies and transfusion requirements between these groups. TIPS was inserted in 78 patients (AD 21 [38.2%]; ACLF 57 [47.8%]; p = 0.41). In ACLF, rescue TIPS insertion was an independent favourable prognostic factor for 42-day mortality. In contrast, rescue TIPS did not impact on the outcome of patients with AD.
Conclusions
This study shows that in patients with failure to control OGVB, the presence and severity of ACLF determines the risk of 42-day and 1-year mortality. Rescue TIPS is associated with improved survival in patients with ACLF.
Lay summary
Variceal bleeding that is not controlled by initial endoscopy is associated with high risk of death. The results of this study showed that in the occurrence of failure of the liver and other organs defines the risk of death. In these patients, insertion of a shunt inside the liver to drain the portal vein improves survival.
Keywords
Acute variceal bleeding
Esophageal varices
Acute-on-chronic liver failure
ACLF
Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt
TIPS
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