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Negligible HCC risk during stringently defined untreated immune-tolerant phase of chronic hepatitis B
Hye Won Lee 1 , Young Eun Chon 2 , Beom Kyung Kim 1 , Terry Cheuk-Fung Yip 3 , Yee-Kit Tse 3 , Grace Lai-Hung Wong 3 , Vincent Wai-Sun Wong 3 , Henry Lik-Yuen Chan 4 , Sang Hoon Ahn 5
Affiliations
Affiliations
1
Department of Internal medicine, Yonsei University College of medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Yonsei Liver Center, Severance Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
2
Department of Internal Medicine, Cha Bundang Medical Center, Cha University, Seongnam, Republic of Korea.
3
Institute of Digestive Disease, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China; Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China; State Key Laboratory of Digestive Disease, The Chinese University of Hong Kong; Hong Kong SAR, China.
4
Institute of Digestive Disease, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China; Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China; State Key Laboratory of Digestive Disease, The Chinese University of Hong Kong; Hong Kong SAR, China. Electronic address: [email protected].
5
Department of Internal medicine, Yonsei University College of medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Yonsei Liver Center, Severance Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea. Electronic address: [email protected].
PMID: 33288393 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejim.2020.10.022
Abstract
Background & aims: Whether chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients during immune-tolerant (IT) phase are at low risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is still controversial. We performed a multicenter study to determine their long-term prognosis.
Methods: Untreated IT group included patients < 40 years of age, with persistently hepatitis B e antigen [HBeAg] positivity, serum HBV-DNA>6 log10IU/mL, and ALT level < 40 U/L, using age and HBV-DNA criteria by the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AASLD) guideline. Cumulative HCC risk of untreated IT group (n=194) was compared to HBeAg-positive patients undergoing antiviral therapy according to the practice and reimbursement guidelines (treated HBeAg[+] group, n=454). Patients with history of cirrhosis or HCC at baseline were excluded.
Results: During follow-up (median 62.1 months), HCC did not develop in any patient among untreated IT group, whereas the cumulative probability of HCC at 3, 5, and 9 years in the treated HBeAg(+) group was 0.5%, 0.7%, and 1.3%, respectively (p=0.203). Ninety-seven patients among untreated IT group entered immune-active phase, of whom 86 (88.7%) started antiviral treatment. A high normal ALT level (20-39 U/L) was associated with an increased risk of a phase change, compared to ALT < 20 U/L. After censoring at the time of phase change, the cumulative HCC risk was also not significantly different between two groups (p=0.258).
Conclusions: No actual HCC risk during untreated IT phase defined by age and HBV-DNA criteria of the AASLD guideline exists, supporting their diagnostic validity from the perspective of long-term prognosis. Further validation studies are required.
Keywords: Antiviral therapy; Hepatitis B e antigen; Hepatitis B virus; Hepatocellular carcinoma; Immune-tolerant.
Copyright © 2020. Published by Elsevier B.V. |
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