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Quasispecies pattern of hepatitis B virus predicts hepatocellular carcinoma using deep-sequencing and machine learning
Shipeng Chen 1 , Zihan Zhang 2 , Ying Wang 1 , Meng Fang 1 , Jun Zhou 1 , Ya Li 3 , Erhei Dai 4 , Zhaolei Feng 5 , Hao Wang 6 , Zaixing Yang 7 , Yongwei Li 8 , Xianzhang Huang 9 , Jian'an Jia 10 , Shuang Li 11 , Chenjun Huang 1 , Lin Tong 1 , Xiao Xiao 1 , Yutong He 1 , Yong Duan 3 , Shanfeng Zhu 2 , Chunfang Gao 1
Affiliations
Affiliations
1
Department of Laboratory Medicine, Shanghai Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Shanghai, China.
2
Shanghai Key Lab of Intelligent Information Processing, School of Computer Science and ISTBI, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
3
Department of Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Yunnan, China.
4
Department of Laboratory Medicine, the Fifth Hospital of Shijiazhuang, Hebei Medical University, Hebei, China.
5
Department of Laboratory Medicine, Jinan infectious Disease Hospital, Shandong, China.
6
Department of Laboratory Medicine, Shanghai Changzheng Hospital, Shanghai, China.
7
Department of Laboratory Medicine, Taizhou First People's Hospital, Zhejiang, China.
8
Department of Laboratory Medicine, Henan Province Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Henan, China.
9
Department of Laboratory Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangdong, China.
10
Department of Laboratory Medicine, Hospital of the Joint Logistics Support Force of the Chinese People's Liberation Army, Anhui, China.
11
Department of infectious diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu, China.
PMID: 33049037 DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiaa647
Abstract
Background: Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is one of the main leading causes of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) worldwide. However, how reverse transcriptase (rt) gene contributes to HCC progression remains uncertain.
Methods: We enrolled a total of 307 chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and 237 HBV related HCC patients from 13 medical centers. Sequence features comprised multi-dimensional attributes of rt nucleic acid and rt/s amino acid sequences. Machine learning (ML) models were used to establish HCC predictive algorithms. Model performances were tested in the training and independent validation cohorts using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and calibration plots.
Results: Random forest (RF) model based on combined metrics (10 features) demonstrated the best predictive performances in both cross and independent validation (RFAUC=0.96, RFACC=0.90), irrespective of HBV genotypes and sequencing depth. Moreover, HCC risk score for individuals obtained from the RF model (AUC =0.966, 95% CI=0.922-0.989) outperformed α-fetal protein (AUC=0.713, 95% CI=0.632-0.784) in identifying HCC from CHB patients.
Conclusions: Our study provides evidence for the first time that HBV rt sequences contain vital HBV quasispecies features in predicting HCC. Integrating deep sequencing with feature extraction and ML models benefits the longitudinal surveillance of CHB and HCC risk assessment.
Keywords: algorithm; hepatitis B virus (HBV); hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); machine learning (ML); next-generation sequencing (NGS).
© The Author(s) 2020. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, e-mail: [email protected]. |
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