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2110
J-Shaped Association between Glycemic
Control and the Risk of Hepatocellular
Carcinoma in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients
with Diabetes Mellitus - a Territory-Wide Cohort
Study of 29,221 Subjects.
Cheuk Fung Yip1, Vincent Wai Sun Wong2, Henry Lik Yuen
Chan2, Yee-Kit Tse1 and Grace Lai2, (1)Institute of Digestive
Disease, and Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The
Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, (2)Institute of
Digestive Disease, Department of Medicine and Therapeutics,
and State Key Laboratory of Digestive Disease, The Chinese
University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
Background: Diabetes mellitus (DM) doubles the risk of
hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic
hepatitis B (CHB). This territory-wide cohort study evaluated
the impact of glycemic control over time on HCC development
in CHB patients with DM. Methods: We performed a
retrospective study on all CHB patients with DM who received
medical care from January 2000 to December 2017 in Hospital
Authority, Hong Kong. The presence of DM was defined
by International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision,
Clinical Modification diagnosis code, hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c)
≥6.5%, fasting glucose ≥7mmol/L in two measurements or
≥11.1mmol/L in one measurement, and/or treatment with any
anti-diabetic agents. Patients’ demographics, comorbidities,
medication, laboratory parameters and HCC diagnosis
were captured and analyzed. Overall glycemic control was
summarized by time-weighted mean HbA1c during follow-up.
The nonlinear relationship between time-weighted mean
HbA1c and HCC was evaluated by restricted cubic spline
with three knots. Patients with follow-up <6 months, renal
replacement therapy, and estimated glomerular filtration rate
<30 mL/min/1.73 m2 at baseline were excluded. Results:
We identified 29,221 CHB patients with DM; their mean
age was 57.7±11.7 years; 61.1% were male and 11.4%
had liver cirrhosis. The median (interquartile range [IQR])
number of HbA1c measurements during follow-up was 10
(5–17); the time-weighted mean HbA1c was 7.2±1.2%. At
a median (IQR) follow-up of 7.2 (3.8–11.9) years, 2,703
(9.3%) patients developed HCC. The 15-year cumulative
incidence of HCC was 16.7% (95% confidence interval [CI]
16.0%–17.4%). A J-shaped curvilinear association between
time-weighted mean HbA1c and HCC development was
observed; patients with HbA1c between 7% and 8% over time
had the lowest risk of HCC after adjustment of age, gender,
cirrhosis, laboratory parameters, use of anti-diabetic agents,
statins, antihypertensives, antiplatelets, and antiviral therapy.
Compared to time-weighted mean HbA1c of 7–8%, the risk of
HCC increased significantly in patients with time-weighted
mean HbA1c ≥10% (adjusted hazard ratio 1.22, 95% CI 1.07–
1.40; P=0.003); the risk of HCC was also significantly higher
in patients with time-weighted mean HbA1c of 6–6.5% (1.11,
1.04–1.18; P=0.003) (Figure 1). Conclusion: Poor glycemic
control is a risk factor of HCC in CHB diabetic patients;
excessively low HbA1c levels over time may be potentially
harmful.
Disclosures:
Henry Lik Yuen Chan – AbbVie: Advisory Committee or Review Panel; AbbVie:
Speaking and Teaching; Arbutus: Advisory Committee or Review Panel; Gilead:
Advisory Committee or Review Panel; Gilead: Speaking and Teaching; Roche:
Advisory Committee or Review Panel; Vir Biotechnology: Advisory Committee
or Review Panel; Intellia: Advisory Committee or Review Panel; Me
The following people have nothing to disclose: Cheuk Fung Yip, Grace Lai
Disclosure information not available at the time of publication: Vincent Wai Sun
Wong, Yee-Kit Tse
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