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s 2078
Risk Factors for Progression to Chronic
Hepatitis in Patients with Acute Hepatitis B:
Results from the Acute Hepatitis B Global Study
Sebastian Marciano1, Diego Flichman2,3, Julieta Trinks3,4,
Manuel Mendizabal5, Beatriz Livellara6, Diego Arrigo6, Pablo
Calzetta7, Claudia Vujacich8, Diego Giunta9 and Adrián
Gadano1, (1)Hepatología and Departamento De Investigación,
Hospital Italiano De Buenos Aires, (2)Cátedra De Virología,
Facultad De Farmacia y Bioquímica, Universidad De Buenos
Aires, Buenos Aires., (3)Consejo Nacional De Investigaciones
Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET), (4)Instituto De Ciencias
Básicas y Medicina Experimental (ICBME), Hospital Italiano
De Buenos Aires, (5)Unidad De Hígado y Trasplante Hepático,
Hospital Universitario Austral, (6)Laboratorio Central, Hospital
Italiano De Buenos Aires, (7)División Gastroenterología,
Hospital Juan a Fernández, (8)Fundación Centro De Estudios
Infectológicos (FUNCEI), (9)Departamento De Investigación
and Área De Investigación De Medicina Interna, Hospital
Italiano De Buenos Aires
Background: There are no recognized risk factors for
progression to chronic hepatitis in adults with acute hepatitis
B virus (HBV) infection. We aimed to identify risk factors of
progression to chronic hepatitis in adults with acute hepatitis
B. Methods: From August/2015 to September/2017 patients
aged >17 years with acute hepatitis B were prospectively
included. Patient who received immunosuppression over the
24 week-period prior to enrolment or who were unwilling to
consent were excluded. Acute hepatitis B was considered in
symptomatic patients with positive anti-HBc IgM and ALT >
250 IU/L. Patients were followed for 6 months and divided into
two groups according to the evolution of the acute infection:
patients who resolved the infection (HBsAg clearance during
follow up) and patients who evolved to chronic hepatitis
(HBsAg persistence during follow up). We evaluated the effect
of different factors on evolution to chronic hepatitis, including
ALT<1700 IU/L at diagnosis. We chose this cutoff based on
ROC curve analysis [negative predictive value of evolving
to chronic hepatitis 97.7% (95%CI 93.3%-99.5%)]. Results:
Two hundred patients were included. Median age was 44 (35-
56) years and 163 (81%) were male. Sexual transmission was
declared in 169 (84%) patients. HBV genotype was available
in 145 patients: F: 111 (77%), A: 29 (20%) and D: 5 (3%).
At diagnosis 171 (89%) were HBeAg-positive. A total of 23
patients (11.5%, 95% CI: 7.7%- 17.0%) evolved to chronic
hepatitis. Bivariate analysis is shown in table 1. After adjusting
for age, basal bilirubin and prothrombin time, for every increase
in 100 IU/L in ALT at the moment of the diagnosis, the odds of
evolving to chronic hepatitis was 0.85 (95%CI 0.78 - 0.92, p <
0.001). Adjusting for the same variables, the odds of evolving
to chronic hepatitis in patients with ALT<1700 IU/L at diagnosis
was 8.32 (95%CI 2.20 - 31.40, p 0.002) Conclusion: Patients
with acute HBV infection with lower ALT levels at diagnosis
are at higher risk of evolving to chronic hepatitis. Closer follow
up of these patients is recommended. |
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