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Med J Aust. 2018 Oct 15;209(8):348-354.
Surveillance improves survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a prospective population-based study.
Hong TP1, Gow PJ2, Fink M3, Dev A4, Roberts SK2, Nicoll A5, Lubel JS5, Kronborg I6, Arachchi N6, Ryan M7, Kemp WW8, Knight V4, Sundararajan V3, Desmond P7, Thompson AJ7, Bell SJ7.
Author information
1
St Vincent's Hospital Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC [email protected].
2
Austin Hospital, Melbourne, VIC.
3
University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC.
4
Monash Health, Melbourne, VIC.
5
Eastern Health, Melbourne, VIC.
6
Western Health, Melbourne, VIC.
7
St Vincent's Hospital Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC.
8
Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, VIC.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES:
To determine the factors associated with survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and the effect of HCC surveillance on survival.
DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS:
Prospective population-based cohort study of patients newly diagnosed with HCC in seven tertiary hospitals in Melbourne, 1 July 2012 - 30 June 2013.
MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES:
Overall survival (maximum follow-up, 24 months); factors associated with HCC surveillance participation and survival.
RESULTS:
272 people were diagnosed with incident HCC during the study period; the most common risk factors were hepatitis C virus infection (41%), alcohol-related liver disease (39%), and hepatitis B virus infection (22%). Only 40% of patients participated in HCC surveillance at the time of diagnosis; participation was significantly higher among patients with smaller median tumour size (participants, 2.8 cm; non-participants, 6.0 cm; P < 0.001) and earlier Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage disease (A/B, 59%; C/D, 25%; P < 0.001). Participation was higher among patients with compensated cirrhosis or hepatitis C infections; it was lower among those with alcohol-related liver disease or decompensated liver disease. Median overall survival time was 20.8 months; mean survival time was 18.1 months (95% CI, 16.6-19.6 months). Participation in HCC surveillance was associated with significantly lower mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.60; 95% CI, 0.38-0.93; P = 0.021), as were curative therapies (aHR, 0.33; 95% CI, 0.19-0.58). Conversely, higher Child-Pugh class, alpha-fetoprotein levels over 400 kU/L, and later BCLC disease stages were each associated with higher mortality.
CONCLUSIONS:
Survival for patients with HCC is poor, but may be improved by surveillance, associated with the identification of earlier stage tumours, enabling curative therapies to be initiated.
KEYWORDS:
Hepatitis B; Hepatitis C; Liver cirrhosis; Liver diseases, alcoholic; Liver neoplasms; Neoplasms, epidemiology; Preventive medicine; Survival analysis
PMID:
30309301 |
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