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ALT Levels and Risk of Hepatocellular
Carcinoma (HCC) in Caucasian Chronic
Hepatitis B (CHB) Patients Under Long-Term
Therapy with Entecavir (ETV) or Tenofovir
Disoproxil Fumarate (TDF)
George V. Papatheodoridis1, George N. Dalekos2, Cihan
Yurdaydin3, Vana Sypsa4, Florian van Bömmel5, Maria
Buti6, Jose Luis Calleja7, Heng Chi8, Ioannis Goulis9,
Spilios Manolakopoulos10,11, Alessandro Loglio12, Spyros
Siakavellas11, Onur Keskin13, Rhea Veelken14, Marta Lopez-
Gomez15, Bettina E. Hansen8,16, Savvoula Savvidou17,
Anastasia Kourikou18, Ioannis Vlachogiannakos1, Kostas
Galanis19, Ramazan Idilman3, Rafael Esteban20, Harry L.
A. Janssen21, Thomas Berg22 and Pietro Lampertico23,
(1)Department of Gastroenterology, Medical School of
National & Kapodistrian University of Athens, Laiko General
Hospital, Athens, (2)Department of Medicine and Research
Laboratory of Internal Medicine, University of Thessaly,
(3)Gastroenterology, Ankara University, (4)Department of
Hygiene, Epidemiology & Medical Statistics, Medical School
of National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, (5)Clinic
for Gastroenterology and Rheumatology, University Clinic
Leipzig, (6)Hospital Universitari Vall d’Hebron, Barcelona,
Spain, (7)Hospital Universitario Puerta De Hierro, (8)
Department of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Erasmus
MC, University Medical Center, (9)4th Department of
Internal Medicine, Hippokratio Hospital, Aristotle University
of Thessaloniki, (10)2nd Academic Department of Internal
Medicine, Medical School of National & Kapodistrian University
of Athens, Hippokratio General Hospital of Athens, (11)
Department of Gastroenterology, Medical School of National
and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Laiko General Hospital
of Athens, (12)Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology,
Fondazione Irccs Cà Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico,
Università Degli Studi Di Milano, Italy, (13)Department of
Gastroenterology, University of Ankara Medical School
(14)Section of Hepatology, Clinic for Gastroenterology and
Rheumatology, University Clinic Leipzig, (15)Hospital U
Puerta De Hierro, Idiphim Ciberehd, (16)Liver Clinic, Toronto
Western & General Hospital, University Health Network,
(17)4th Department of Internal Medicine, Αristotle University
of Thessaloniki Medical School, (18)2nd Department of
Internal Medicine, Medical School of National & Kapodistrian
University of Athens, Hippokratio General Hospital of Athens,
(19)Department of Internal Medicine, Thessalia University
Medical School, (20)Department of Internal Medicine/Liver
Unit, Vall D’hebron University Hospital, (21)Toronto Centre for
Liver Disease, University Health Network, (22)Department of
Gastroenterology and Rheumatology, Section of Hepatology,
University Hospital Leipzig, (23)CRC “AM e a Migliavacca”
Center for Liver Disease, Division of Gastrotnerology and
Hepatology, Fondazione Irccs Cà Granda Ospedale Maggiore
Policlinico, Università Degli Studi Di Milano
Background: Recent reports have suggested that ontherapy
ALT activity may be associated with the probability
of HCC in CHB patients who receive long-term oral antiviral
therapy. We evaluated whether ALT levels affect the incidence
of HCC in Caucasian CHB patients treated with long-term
ETV/TDF therapy in the multicenter, ongoing PAGE-B cohort
study. Methods: The PAGE-B cohort includes 1951 adult
Caucasians with CHB with or without compensated cirrhosis
(mean age 53±14 years, males:71%, HBeAg-positive:18%,
compensated cirrhosis:27%). Mean follow-up has been
6.9±2.8 (median:7.3) years from ETV/TDF onset. The
following upper normal limits (ULN) of ALT were considered:
30/19 IU/L for males/females (AASLD1-ULN), 35/25 IU/L for
males/females (AASLD2-ULN) and 40 IU/L for all patients
(EASL-ULN). The cumulative incidence rates of HCC derived
from Kaplan-Meier estimates. Results: HCC has been
diagnosed in 103 cases within the first 5 years and another
33 cases after year 5 (until year 13). ALT was >AASLD1-ULN,
>AASLD2-ULN and >EASL-ULN in 66.4%, 61.3% and 51.7%
of 1843 patients at baseline, 45.1%, 29.7% and 15.7% of 1688
patients at year 1 and 33.9%, 18.6% and 9.3% of 1341 patients
at year 5, respectively. In univariable analyses, elevated ALT
at baseline by any definition and ALT >EASL-ULN at year
1 were associated with subsequent HCC development, but
there was no association with ALT >AASLD1/2-ULN at year 1
or elevated ALT by any definition at year 5 or with ALT levels at
any time point. After adjustment for age, sex, platelet counts
and presence of cirrhosis, only ALT >EASL-ULN at year 1
was found to have an independent association with HCC
development after year 1 (HR:1.9, 95% CI:1.2-3.1; P=0.010).
ALT >EASL-ULN at year 1 was independently associated with
HCC development in patients with baseline cirrhosis (adjusted
HR:2.9, 95% CI:1.3-3.9; P=0.003), but not in non-cirrhotics
(P=0.913). In 465 cirrhotics, the 3-, 5-, 10-year HCC incidence
rates were 4%, 10%, 17% in 379 cases with ALT ≤EASL-ULN
and 10%, 17%, 22% in 86 cases with ALT >EASL-ULN at year
1. Conclusion: In ETV/TDF treated Caucasian CHB patients
a) maintenance of elevated ALT at 1 year of therapy increases
the subsequent HCC risk, particularly in patients with cirrhosis
at baseline; b) the ULN of ALT recommended by EASL (40
IU/L), but not those by AASLD, at year 1 of therapy appears
to offer independent clinically relevant predictability for HCC
development. |
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