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Incidence and Predictors of HBsAg Seroclearance in 10,614
Untreated Patients on Long-Term Follow-up:
A Collaborative Study from North America and Asia Pacific Yee Hui Yeo1, Hsiu J. Ho2, Hwai-I Yang3, Tai-Chung Tseng4, Huy N. Trinh5, Young Min Park6, Tetsuya Hosaka7, Min-Sun Kwak8, James Fung9, Teerapat Ungtrakul10, Ming-Lung Yu11, Jiayi Li12, Jian Zhang13, An K. Le1, Tassanee Sriprayoon14, Tawesak Tanwandee15, Man-Fung Yuen16, Hyo-Suk Lee8, Fumitaka Suzuki7, Mariko Kobayashi17, Jia-Horng Kao4, Chun-Ying Wu18 and Mindie H. Nguyen1, (1)Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Stanford University Medical Center, (2)Division of Translational Research, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, (3)Genomics Research Center, Academia Sinica, (4)Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, (5)San Jose Gastroenterology, (6) Department of Internal Medicine, and Biomedical Research Center, Bundang Jesaeng General Hospital, (7)Hepatology, Toranomon Hospital, (8)Department of Internal Medicine and Liver Research Institute, Seoul National University Hospital, (9) Medicine, Queen Mary Hospital, (10)Faculty of Medicine and Public Health, HRH Princess Chulabhorn College of Medical Science, (11)Internal Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung Medical University, (12)Palo Alto Medical Foundation, Mountain View Division, (13)Chinese Hospital, (14)Department of Medicine, Siriraj Hospital, (15)Internal Medicine, Mahidol University, (16)Medicine, Queen Mary Hospital, Hong Kong, (17)Research Institute for Hepatology, Toranomon Hospital, (18)Taipei Veterans General Hospital
Background:
Spontaneous HBsAg seroclearance is the functional cure of hepatitis B virus and is associated with a better prognosis. However, the reported rates of seroclearance have been limited by small sample size. In this study, we combined data from nine cohorts to investigate the incidence and determinants of HBsAg seroclearance.
Methods:
Data were obtained from nine cohorts in North America (one cohort, n= 1,635) and Asia (eight cohorts, n=8979) totalling 10,614 CHB patients who never received treatment for hepatitis B infection. Serial laboratory data were collected to determine HBsAg seroclearance, defined as having two undetectable HBsAg results six months apart. Annual, and cumulative incidence rates of HBsAg seroclearance were estimated. Subgroup analyses and multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression were performed to assess the determinants of HBsAg seroclearance.
Results:
A total of 1,273 spontaneous incident HBsAg seroclearance occurred during 95,886 person years of follow-up. The pooled annual seroclearance rate was 1.33% (95% CI: 1.26-1.40), while 5-, 10-, 15-, and 20-year cumulative incidence rate were 5.01%, 11.36%, 19.44%, and 25.49%, respectively. After adjusting for sex, age, baseline HBeAg status, cirrhosis at baseline, ALT level, clinical setting, and ethnicity, the hazard of spontaneous HBsAg seroclearance during follow-up was significantly higher in males (HR=1.17, 95%CI: 1.04-1.33 vs. female), older age group (age≥55: HR=1.79, 95%CI: 1.49-2.15; age 45-54: HR=1.52, 95%CI: 1.28-1.80; age 35-44: HR=1.25, 95%CI: 1.06-1.48 vs. age≤35), higher baseline ALT level (HR=1.01, 95%CI: 1.00-1.01 for every 10 unit increase) and lower in those with baseline HBeAg (+) (HR=0.25, 95%CI: 0.19- 0.32 vs. HBeAg[-]), higher HBV DNA level (>20,000IU/mL: HR=0.35, 95%CI: 0.28-0.43; 2,000-20,000IU/mL: HR=0.43, 95%CI: 0.36-0.52 vs. HBV DNA<2,000IU/mL),and higher quantitative HBsAg (qHBsAg) level (>1,000IU/mL: HR=0.21, 95%CI: 0.18-0.25 vs qHBsAg≤1000IU/mL). Subgroup analysis showed that patients with genotype C had higher likelihood of achieving HBsAg seroclearance than those with genotype B.
Conclusion:
The spontaneous annual HBsAg seroclearance rate in hepatitis B patients is 1.33%, with approximately 25% of patients achieving seroclearance after 20 years of followup. Being male, older, and HBeAg-negative and having higher ALT, lower HBV DNA level, and lower qHBsAg level were associated with a higher likelihood of attaining HBsAg seroclearance.
Disclosures:
Tai-Chung Tseng – Abbott: Grant/Research Support Huy N. Trinh – gilead: Advisory Committee or Review Panel; gilead: Consulting; Gilead, Intercept: Grant/Research Support James Fung – Novartis: Grant/Research Support Ming-Lung Yu – Abbvie, Abbott, Ascletis, BMS, Gilead, J&J, Merck, Pharmaessential.: Advisory Committee or Review Panel; Abbvie, Abbott, Ascletis, BMS, Gilead, J&J, Merck, Novartis, Pharmaessential and Roche.: Speaking and Teaching; BMS, Gilead, and Merck: Grant/Research Support Man-Fung Yuen – Abbvie: Advisory Committee or Review Panel; Arrowhead: Grant/Research Support; Bristol Myers Squibb: Grant/Research Support; Gilead: Advisory Committee or Review Panel; Fujerubio: Speaking and Teaching; Roche: Advisory Committee or Review Panel; MSD: Advisory Committee or Review Panel Mindie H. Nguyen – Norvatis: Advisory Committee or Review Panel; Spring Bank: Advisory Committee or Review Panel; Gilead: Advisory Committee or Review Panel; B K Kee Foundation: Grant/Research Support; Gilead: Grant/ Research Support; Janssen: Advisory Committee or Review Panel; Eisai: Advisory Committee or Review Panel; Exact Science: Grant/Research Support; The following people have nothing to disclose: Yee Hui Yeo, Hsiu J. Ho, Hwai-I Yang, Young Min Park, Tetsuya Hosaka, Min-Sun Kwak, Teerapat Ungtrakul, Jiayi Li, Jian Zhang, An K. Le, Tassanee Sriprayoon, Tawesak Tanwandee, Hyo- Suk Lee, Fumitaka Suzuki, Mariko Kobayashi, Jia-Horng Kao, Chun-Ying Wu |
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