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Hepatology. 2018 May 7. doi: 10.1002/hep.30083. [Epub ahead of print]
Diabetes, plasma glucose and incidence of fatty liver, cirrhosis and liver cancer: A prospective study of 0.5 million people.
Pang Y1, Kartsonaki C1,2, Turnbull I1, Guo Y3, Clarke R1, Chen Y1,2, Bragg F1, Yang L1,2, Bian Z3, Millwood IY1,2, Hao J4, Han X5, Zang Y6, Chen J7, Li L3,8, Holmes MV1,2,9, Chen Z1.
Author information
1
Clinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
2
Medical Research Council Population Health Research Unit (MRC PHRU), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
3
Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, 9 Dongdan San Tiao, Beijing, 100730, China.
4
Qingdao Cancer Hospital, Qingdao, 266042, China.
5
Yongqinglu Community Health Service Center, Qingdao, 266041, China.
6
Qingdao Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Qingdao, 266033, China.
7
School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, China.
8
National Center for Food Safety Risk Assessment, 37 Guangqu Road, Beijing, 100021, China.
9
National Institute for Health Research Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford University Hospital, Old Road, Oxford, OX3 7LE, UK.
Abstract
The prevalence of diabetes is increasing rapidly in China. However, evidence is limited about its effects on chronic liver diseases and liver cancer. We aimed to examine the associations of diabetes with chronic liver diseases and liver cancer and of random plasma glucose (RPG) with these liver diseases among participants without diabetes in Chinese adults, and to assess the possible interaction by hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. The prospective China Kadoorie Biobank recruited 512,891 adults. During 10 years of follow-up, 2,568 liver cancer, 2,082 cirrhosis, 1,298 hospitalised non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), and 244 hospitalised alcoholic liver disease (ALD) were recorded among 503,993 participants without prior history of cancer or chronic liver diseases at baseline. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for each disease by diabetes status (previously diagnosed or screen-detected) and, among those without previously diagnosed diabetes, by levels of RPG. Overall 5.8% of participants had diabetes at baseline. Compared with those without diabetes, individuals with diabetes had adjusted HRs of 1.49 (95% CI 1.30-1.70) for liver cancer, 1.81 (1.57-2.09) for cirrhosis, 1.76 (1.47-2.16) for NAFLD, and 2.24 (1.42-3.54) for ALD. The excess risks decreased but remained elevated in those with longer duration. Among those without previously diagnosed diabetes, RPG was positively associated with liver diseases, with adjusted HRs per 1 mmol/L higher RPG of 1.04 (1.03-1.06) for liver cancer, 1.07 (1.05-1.09) for cirrhosis, 1.07 (1.05-1.10) for NAFLD, and 1.10 (1.05-1.15) for ALD. These associations did not differ by HBV infection.
CONCLUSION:
In Chinese adults, diabetes and higher blood glucose levels among those without known diabetes are associated with increased risks of liver cancer and major chronic liver diseases. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
© 2018 by the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.
KEYWORDS:
Diabetes; cirrhosis; fatty liver disease; liver cancer; plasma glucose
PMID:
29734463
DOI:
10.1002/hep.30083
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