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BMC Gastroenterol. 2017 Dec 8;17(1):154. doi: 10.1186/s12876-017-0697-3.
Time-varying serum gradient of hepatitis B surface antigen predicts risk of relapses after off-NA therapy.Chien NH1,2,3, Huang YT4, Wu CY5,6, Chang CY2,7,8, Wu MS9, Kao JH9,10, Mo LR11, Tai CM8, Lin CW8, Yang TH12, Lin JT2,7,8, Hsu YC13,14,15,16.
Author information
1Cathay General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.2School of Medicine, Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei, Taiwan.3Sijhih Cathay General Hospital, New Taipei, Taiwan.4Institute of Statistical Science, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.5Division of Gastroenterology, Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan.6Faculty of Medicine, School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan.7Division of Gastroenterology, Fu-Jen Catholic University Hospital, New Taipei, Taiwan.8Division of Gastroenterology, E-Da Hospital/I-Shou University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan.9Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.10Graduate Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.11Department of Internal Medicine, Tainan Municipal Hospital, Tainan, Taiwan.12Department of Internal Medicine, Lotung Poh-Ai Hospital, Yilan Country, Taiwan.13School of Medicine, Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei, Taiwan. [email protected].14Division of Gastroenterology, Fu-Jen Catholic University Hospital, New Taipei, Taiwan. [email protected].15Division of Gastroenterology, E-Da Hospital/I-Shou University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan. [email protected].16, No.510, Zhongzheng Rd., Xinzhuang Dist, New Taipei City, 24205, Taiwan. [email protected].
AbstractBACKGROUND: The serum gradient of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) varies over time after cessation of nucleos(t)ide analog (NA) treatment in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). The association between the time-varying HBsAg serum gradient and risk of relapse has not been elucidated.
METHODS: This multicenter cohort study prospectively enrolled CHB patients who discontinued 3 year-NA treatment. Eligible patients were serologically negative for HBeAg and viral DNA at NA cessation. The participants (n = 140) were followed every 3 months through HBsAg quantification. Virological and clinical relapses were defined as viral DNA levels >2000 IU/mL and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels >80 U/mL, respectively. The association of time-varying HBsAg levels with relapses was assessed through a time-dependent Cox analysis.
RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 19.9 (interquartile range [IQR], 10.6-25.3) months, virological and clinical relapses occurred in 94 and 49 patients, with a 2-year cumulative incidence of 79.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 70.9%-86.4%) and 42.9% (95% CI, 34.1%-52.8%), respectively. The serum level of HBsAg was associated with virological (P < 0.001) and clinical (P = 0.01) relapses in a dose-response manner, with adjusted hazard ratios of 2.10 (95% CI, 1.45-3.04) and 2.32 (95% CI, 1.28-4.21). Among the patients (n = 19) whose HBsAg levels ever dropped below 10 IU/mL, only one and three patients subsequently developed clinical and virological relapses.
CONCLUSION: The serum gradient of HBsAg measured throughout the off-therapy observation is associated with the subsequent occurrence of virological and clinical relapses in CHB patients who discontinue NA treatment.
KEYWORDS: Chronic hepatitis B; Hepatitis B surface antigen quantification; Nucleos(t)ide analogs; Time-dependent Cox proportion hazards model
PMID:29221441DOI:10.1186/s12876-017-0697-3
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