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Discussion
We summarize here five important key findings regarding HBsAg seroclearance in Korean HBV carriers from a new perspective. First, HBsAg-SCR, HBeAg, HBV DNA and CLD are factors associated with the time interval from a given carrier state to HBsAg seroclearance. Second, the start of a decrease in HBsAg-SCR usually indicates the gradual loss of HBsAg quantity. Third, asymptomatic, inactive LC is present in approximately 30% of carriers with HBsAg seroclearance. Fourth, HCC can develop after HBsAg loss. Fifth, in addition to LC, risk factors for HCC may include excessive drinking and a family history of HBV infection.
The HBsAg clearance rate seems to be lower in Korea than in other countries. The clearance rate was determined to be 0.76% in Korea, while other studies have reported rates of 1.15%-1.6% in Taiwan[6,18], 1.14% in Kawerau of New Zealand[19], 1%-1.9% in Caucasian carriers[5,17], 2.5% in the Goto Islands of Japan[20], and 3.08% in China[21]. Compared with data from Taiwan[18], HBsAg seroclearance in Korea was significantly reduced in all age groups as follows: 0.55% vs 0.77% in the 20-30 year, 0.45% vs 1.07% in the 30-40 year, 0.92% vs 1.65% in the 40-50 year, and 0.89% vs 1.83% in the 50 and over age groups. This variability may be due to various factors, such as geographic differences in genotypes, age, gender, viral loading and fibrosis at enrollment. For instance, almost all Korean carriers are known to be infected with genotype C, whereas 60% and 34% of Taiwanese carriers are infected with genotypes B and C, respectively[6,22].
Carriers with an initial HBeAg-positive result show the gradual negative conversion of HBeAg and HBV DNA before the loss of HBsAg[14]. In carriers with an initial HBeAg-negative result, HBV DNA is cleared from the serum before HBsAg-NC, although low HBV DNA titers are persistently detected in some patients[23]. These results are inter-related in that the HBsAg loss is usually preceded by a long period of inactive disease[17].
The time period from entry to HBsAg loss in our study is similar to that reported in a previous six-year study conducted in China[21]. Notably, no significant differences in this time interval were observed according to age, the HBeAg status or the HBV DNA titer at the time of enrollment. Two opposite conclusions have been made regarding the role of HBV DNA in HBsAg seroclearance. One is that HBV DNA is not a dependent factor for HBsAg-NC[6,19], while the other suggests that lower viral loads are predictive of HBsAg seroclearance[24]. In our study, the HBV DNA titer was associated with the relative period of time from detection of viral activity to HBsAg seroclearance, and this period was at least 1.5 times longer in the carriers with HBV DNA levels ≥ 2000 IU/mL than in those with levels < 20 IU/mL 40s. However 50s, HBeAg exhibited this effect only in the 40s and 50s age groups, indicating its age-dependent role in predicting HBsAg loss, in contrast with the HBV DNA titer.
The baseline HBsAg level is known to be a better predictor of HBsAg seroclearance than other factors[6,16,19,21,24-26]. This statement applies to inactive carrier, in whom a lower HBsAg level is more predictive of HBsAg seroclearance. Reportedly, the optimum cut-off baseline HBsAg level has varied among studies, for example, studies have reported levels of < 10 IU/mL[6,21], < 100 IU/mL[19,24], < 200 IU/mL[25,26], and < 751 IU/mL[16]. In addition, it has been reported that the predictive capacity of the HBsAg level can be improved by considering it in combination with other factors, such as a normal platelet count[21], old age[19], an undetectable HBV DNA level[24], the HBV DNA level at 12 mo after HBeAg seroconversion[27], and a yearly ≥ 0.5 log IU/mL reduction[25,26].
Because the quantitative HBsAg test is expensive, we analyzed the utility of the HBsAg-SCR in predicting HBsAg seroclearance. A good linear correlation was observed between an HBsAg-SCR < 1000 and HBsAg-QNT < 200 IU/mL. In addition, a prozone effect on the HBsAg-SCR caused by excess antigen was observed among the carriers with excessive HBsAg titers of > 10000 IU/mL, most of whom had a very high serum HBV DNA level of > 7 log10 IU/mL. With the exception of those carriers with highly replicative infections, the HBsAg-SCR was significantly reduced in the HBeAg-negative carriers compared with the HBeAg-positive carriers. Moreover, the period of time from a given viral state to HBsAg loss tended to be shorter, as shown in Figure 2. A gradual decrease in the repeated tests during follow-up usually indicated HBsAg loss within five years. These results suggest that sequential HBsAg-SCR data are very useful for predicting HBsAg seroclearance.
The rate of LC at entry of 31.1% for the carriers with HBsAg seroclearance is similar to that reported previously[14]. These results indicate that LC is present in an appreciably high rate of carriers with HBsAg seroclearance. On the other hand, significant fibrosis has been reported to be more prevalent in patients with HBsAg seroclearance who are > 50 years of age compared with those who are < 50 years of age[19,28]. In our study, the prevalence of LC was significantly increased among the males who were approximately forty years of age. In addition, the carriers in whom LC/CLD was detected on US exhibited a longer time interval from entry to HBsAg seroclearance than those with normal US results. These results suggest that the correlation between age and HBsAg loss is meaningful when it is considered together with gender and LC. In addition, the frequency of HBsAg loss was higher in the carriers over the age of 40 than in the younger carriers, and this trend is similar to trends reported in Taiwan[18], Japan[20], and New Zealand[29]. These results might be associated with a high rate of HBsAg seroclearance during long-term follow-up, as reported in Chu and Liaw’s study[18].
Inactive carriers generally have a good prognosis. Indeed, none of the patients developed HCC following HBsAg loss (median follow-up of 72 mo) in a community study conducted in Kawerau, New Zealand[19], or in a study of Caucasians[5]. In contrast, in studies performed in Hong Kong and the United States, 1.4%-2.4% of the patients developed HCC after HBsAg seroclearance[7,14,28]. In our study, 4.82% of the carriers with HBsAg seroclearance developed HCC after HBsAg loss, indicating that HBsAg seroclearance does not guarantee patient safety out of HCC.
In one study, HBsAg seroclearance in individuals < 50 years of age has been shown to be associated with a lower risk of the development of HCC[28]. In another study, a low baseline level of albumin and family histories of HBsAg positivity and HCC have been demonstrated to be associated with a high risk of development of HCC, even in individuals who are < 50 years of age at the time of HBsAg clearance[14]. In our study, HCC developed in one patient over 50 years of age and in three patients over 60 years of age after HBsAg seroclearance. All patients had asymptomatic LC at registration and no evidence of deterioration of liver function during follow-up. In addition, none of these patients had a family history of HCC. Three men were excessive drinkers, and one woman had a vertical HBV infection.
In conclusion, HBsAg seroclearance does not indicate safety out of HCC, particularly in patients with LC. Spontaneous HBsAg loss might occur in a large proportion of cryptogenic LC and HCC cases in Korea, and surveillance should be continued after HBsAg loss in the same manner as for HBsAg-positive patients. Sequential HBsAg-SCR data measured with the conventional test are very useful for the long-term management of carriers, similar to HBsAg levels. |
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