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HBsAg level reflects the transcriptional activity of the cccDNA and is used as a proxy measure of HBV infection and for treatment guidance[19-21]. HBsAg declines during treatment and its level at the end of treatment can predict HBeAg seroconversion in HBeAg-positive patients[22-24] and sustained viral response in HBeAg-negative patients[25-27]. Thus, inactive HBsAg carriers were not recommended for antiviral therapy[1-3]. However, this inactive state was not always sustained. A long-term follow-up study showed cumulative probabilities of hepatitis relapse in inactive HBsAg carriers of 10.2%, 17.4%, 19.3%, 20.2% and 20.2% after 5, 10, 15, 20 and 25 years of follow-up, respectively, with an annual rate of 1.55%[28]. Another long-term longitudinal study (up to 23 years) showed that 1%-17% of inactive carriers reverted back to HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis[4]. Cirrhosis and HCC may still develop in some inactive HBsAg carriers[28-30]. In contrast, no cirrhosis or HCC occurred in patients with HBsAg loss after IFN treatment, indicating that HBsAg clearance is currently the only parameter associated with an excellent long-term prognosis[10], and the strongest factor predicting excellent long-term outcome in HBV infected individuals is HBsAg loss, spontaneously or after treatment[10]. Therefore, it could be speculated that inactive HBsAg carriers can get further improvement in outcomes if HBsAg loss could be achieved after IFN treatment.
This study contained all participants who were inactive carriers with HBsAg < 100 IU/mL and wished to achieve HBsAg clearance by PEG-IFN alfa-2a treatment during the study period. Despite the lack of liver pathology for diagnosis, the patients could be considered as inactive for having undetectable HBV DNA and persistent normal ALT for 2 years, serum HBV DNA < 100 IU/mL and HBsAg < 100 IU/mL at enrollment. It has been reported that HBsAg < 1000 IU/mL with HBV DNA < 2000 IU/mL can distinguish inactive from active carriers with a diagnostic accuracy of 94.3%, sensitivity of 91.1%, specificity of 95.4%, positive predictive value of 87.9%, and negative predictive value of 96.7%[31]. Although the present study was not a randomized controlled study, all treated inactive carriers with HBsAg < 100 IU/mL and matched controls according to age, sex, and HBsAg and ALT levels were included for eliminating the bias.
Effects, including the probability of HBsAg clearance, can be enhanced by extended therapy with PEG-IFN alfa-2a[32]. In our study the patients were given 72 wk of treatment. After 12 wk of treatment with PEG-IFN alfa-2a, HBsAg levels decreased significantly compared with baseline levels. Furthermore, at the end of study, HBsAg loss occurred in most of treated patients, and HBsAg levels in the remaining seven treated carriers who did not achieve HBsAg loss decreased significantly. In contrast, mean HBsAg level of the control group remained constant during 96 wk of observation and no patients experienced HBsAg loss. These results suggest that inactive HBsAg carriers could benefit from PEG-IFN alfa-2a treatment.
In the present study, all participants had HBsAg < 100 IU/mL and they may have a good long-term clinical outcome, even HBsAg loss, after long-term follow-up. However, it was reported that spontaneous HBsAg loss in patients with HBsAg < 100 IU/mL occurred in a mean period of 86.6 ± 29 mo (range, 26-115) after the baseline visit with an annual rate of 1.6%[33], and in the present study after 72 wk treatment of PEG-IFN alfa-2a, HBsAg clearance occurred in 65% of treated objects. In a study by Tseng et al[34], HBsAg level < 10 IU/mL at baseline was the strongest predictor of HBsAg loss. However, the rate of HBsAg loss was only 7.4 per 100 persons per year and it occurred in a mean period of 5.8 ± 4.2 years. Although half of the subjects included in this study had HBsAg < 10 IU/mL and undetectable HBV DNA, 80% (8/10) of them achieved HBsAg loss after 72 wk of IFN treatment, suggesting that PEG-IFN alfa-2a treatment can make inactive carriers achieve HBsAg clearence in a short-term period compared with spontaneous HBsAg loss occurring in the nature history. Although Chen et al[35] reported in a case-control study that the positive predictive value of HBsAg level of 200 IU/mL in predicting HBsAg loss occurring within 1 year was 36%, their study design was different from ours. The aim of their study was to observe the difference in HBsAg decrease between 46 patients who underwent spontaneous HBsAg loss and 46 patients who had no HBsAg loss during the same observation course. The aim of our study was to compare the rate of HBsAg clearance in patients treated with PEG-IFN alfa-2a compared with untreated patients, and the result showed that the rate of HBsAg clearance was significantly higher in patients treated with PEG-IFN alfa-2a than in untreated patients. The results of our study suggested that inactive carriers can receive PEG-IFN alfa-2a therapy to increase the probability of HBsAg clearance and shorten the time compared with that occurring spontaneously.
In conclusion, our study demonstrated that treatment with PEG-IFN alfa-2a produced a high rate of HBsAg loss/seroconversion in inactive carriers with low HBsAg levels. However, whether inactive carriers with HBsAg levels more than 100 IU/mL could benefit from PEG-IFN alfa-2a treatment needs further study. |
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