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Discussion
The results of this systematic review on the cessation of Nuc therapy in HBeAg-negative patients with CHB have shown remarkable variations across the studies. These include the study design (retrospective or prospective), Nuc used, stopping rule, duration of Nuc therapy/consolidation therapy, interval/duration of off-therapy monitoring, definition of relapse and indication for re-treatment. Most studies monitored the patients with serum ALT and HBV DNA monthly in the first 1–3 months and every 3–6 months afterwards (Table 2). Using the definitions of ‘virological relapse’ (HBV DNA >2000 IU/mL) and ‘clinical relapse’ (HBV DNA >2000 IU/mL + ALT elevation) of major liver associations,[3-5] the collective data showed an 1-year ‘virological relapse’ rate of <70% and ‘clinical relapse’ rate of <50% in most of the studies, being higher in patients with Nuc therapy ≤1 year and with a trend to be lower in patients treated with more potent Nucs and those with longer duration of Nuc therapy and/or consolidation therapy.[12, 14-19, 25, 26, 31-34] An 1-year ‘clinical relapse’ rate <30% was reported in patients with baseline HBV DNA ≤2×105 IU/mL [25] or those with maintained undetectable HBV DNA (consolidation therapy) >18 months before cessation of Nuc therapy.[25, 26, 32] Most relapses happened within 1-year off-therapy, slightly increased afterwards but rarely after year 2 off-therapy.[11-34] ‘Clinical relapse’ most frequently (~79%) occurred within 6-month off-therapy in patients treated with LAM, ADV or LdT[12, 15, 17, 25], but the majority (~75%) occurred beyond 6-month off-therapy in ETV-treated patients.[25, 29] Marked ALT flare was rare and hepatic decompensation was reported in only one patient with liver cirrhosis.[25, 31] Overall, the results have shown that cessation of Nuc therapy after maintained HBV suppression for at least 1 year is safe under proper off-therapy monitoring, and only 26–48% of the patients required re-treatment. In other words, 50–75% of the patients may enjoy Nuc-free life for at least the duration of the off-therapy follow-up listed in this systematic review. However, it is also obvious that proper off-therapy monitoring is mandatory to start re-treatment in time to prevent or rescue more serious relapse and hepatic decompensation.[11, 20, 23, 25, 29, 30]
In the guidelines of the major liver associations, drug therapy is not recommended for HBeAg-negative CHB patients with HBV DNA >2000 IU/mL without concomitant ALT elevation unless the patients have evidence of advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis.[3, 4, 36] Therefore, ‘clinical relapse’ is of more clinical significance than ‘virological relapse’; however, ‘virological relapse’ is also significant in patients with advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis and those with family history for severe liver disease or HCC. A few studies chose to re-treat the patients with ‘virological relapse’.[24, 26, 29, 31] Of the two Asian studies with ETV therapy using APASL stopping rule, the Taiwan study of 2-year ETV therapy showed a virological relapse rate of 57.8%, a clinical relapse rate of 45.2% and re-treatment was instituted in 35.8% of the patients.[25] In contrast, a recent Hong Kong study of 3-year ETV therapy showed an extremely high ‘virological relapse’ rate (91.4%), and very high (88.5%) proportion of the patients was re-treated for ‘virological response’ in spite of a low ‘clinical relapse’ rate (10.3%).[29] The reason(s) for these discrepancies are not clear. Importantly, it was well documented by Hadziyannis, et al.[23] that all of the 33 HBeAg-negative CHB patients who discontinued ADV therapy showed initial virological rebound, but 18 (55%) patients achieved sustained remission spontaneously and 13 (72.2%) of the 18 patients lost serum HBsAg during free of treatment follow-up, in contrast to HBsAg loss in only 1 (6%) of the 15 patients who received re-treatment. These findings suggest that the early biochemical relapse reflecting immune-mediated hepatocyte killing could be beneficial in reduction and dilution of the cccDNA in the infected hepatocytes,[37] and thus lead to a higher chance of HBsAg seroclearance, as shown in the study of Hadziyannis et al.[23] A most recent study not included in this systematic review also showed that 7 of the 59 HBeAg-negative patients who discontinued therapy lost serum HBsAg, none of whom had been re-treated.[35] Therefore, treating patients with off-therapy ‘virological relapse’ could hamper the chances for effective immune-mediated response,[29, 38, 39] thus re-treatment may only be considered when the clinical relapse is of high risk for hepatic decompensation, such as ALT flare with a HBV DNA level >3 × 108 IU/mL,[40] or in patients with persistent ALT elevation or repeated relapse.[38, 39, 41] For virological relapse with HBV DNA >20 000 IU/mL, re-treatment may be needed if there are other risk factors such as positive family history for severe liver disease or HCC. More frequent monitoring is required once virological relapse is detected, and weekly to biweekly follow-up including serum bilirubin and even prothrombin time may be required once ALT becomes abnormal, especially if ALT is rising or flare up to >5× ULN.[36]
It is a widely accepted belief that Nuc therapy in patients with liver cirrhosis should be lifelong and should be excluded from this finite Nuc therapy strategy.[3, 4, 23, 39] Notably, up to 41% of the patients in 18 studies, totally 165 patients, included in this systematic review had evidence of liver cirrhosis (Table S1), and only one patient who defaulted on off-therapy follow-up developed hepatic decompensation.[25] Recently, it was further shown that cessation of LAM therapy after recovery from a hepatitis B flare with decompensation was safe for most patients, including patients with cirrhosis, though some patients developed hepatic decompensation which could be prevented by proper off-therapy monitoring and rescued by timely Nuc re-treatment.[42] One may argue whether cessation of Nuc therapy in patients with cirrhosis would blunt the effect in reducing long-term adverse outcomes such as HCC and mortality. Studies not included in this review showed that the incidence of HCC after cessation of Nuc was not higher than those who continued Nuc therapy during a mean duration up to 90 months.[42, 43] All these findings may challenge the dogma of lifelong Nuc therapy in patients with cirrhosis or hepatic decompensation.[3, 4] These findings may also form the basis for large prospective controlled studies for longer duration to test or confirm the feasibility of finite Nuc therapy. Given that several factors have been reported to be significant for the off-therapy virological response, studies are also warranted to find the best approach for when and on what variables to discontinue long-term Nuc therapy in HBeAg-negative CHB as well as when to restart Nuc therapy.[44]
The role of serum HBsAg level in relation to off-therapy relapse was assessed in a few studies.[21, 22, 25, 28] Of the patients with end-of-therapy HBsAg ≤100 IU/mL, off-therapy HBV DNA increased >200 IU/mL in only 9–22%[21, 22], while <7% of the patients with end-of-therapy HBsAg <200 IU/mL developed HBV DNA relapse to >2000 IU/mL.[28] Most recently, it was also shown that patients with end-of-treatment HBsAg ≤100 IU/mL were 15-fold more likely to develop confirmed HBsAg loss after treatment discontinuation.[35] These findings suggest that HBsAg <100 or <200 IU/mL at the end of therapy is a good indicator of sustained response. These levels were also reported to be highly predictive for spontaneous HBsAg seroclearance within 1–3 year during the natural course of CHB.[45, 46] Unfortunately, not many patients can achieve such low HBsAg level during Nuc therapy. Further studies are required to find an optimal or a more practical HBsAg threshold for predicting sustained response after cessation of Nuc therapy.
Summary and conclusions
Collative data in this systematic review have shown a 1-year ‘virological relapse’ rate of <70%, ‘clinical relapse’ rate of <50% and a lower than 40% rate of re-treatment. These rates are lower in patients with baseline HBV DNA ≤2 × 105 IU/mL or in those with a consolidation therapy >18 months and, actually, they are not higher than the rates in HBeAg-positive patients who had achieved seroconversion to anti-HBe and stopped therapy after adequate consolidation therapy.[35, 47] Given that cessation of Nuc therapy in HBeAg-positive CHB patients is accepted by all major liver associations,[3-5] conceivably cessation of Nuc therapy is also a feasible alternative to indefinite treatment prior to HBsAg seroclearance in HBeAg-negative patients with CHB who had Nuc therapy ≥2 years and if adequate stopping rules, including that of APASL or other more stringent rule with consolidation time >12 months and proper off-therapy monitoring plan, are followed. Notably, the off-therapy immune-mediated clinical relapses may resolve spontaneously with an increased chance of HBsAg seroclearance; thus, not all relapses require immediate re-treatment. The recommended strategy for cessation, follow-up monitoring and re-commencement of Nuc therapy in HBeAg-negative CHB are listed in Figure 2. This strategy of Nuc cessation with proper off-therapy monitoring would be much safer than stopping therapy by patients themselves for whatever reasons (financial, willingness, etc.) and hence lost to follow-up. Without adequate monitoring, such patients may encounter unpredictable untoward outcomes. Of note, actual adherence to frequent monitoring may be not easy in clinical practice but is of paramount importance and must be stressed when physician/patient consider stopping Nuc therapy. Finally, the collective data in this systematic review support that cessation of oral anti-viral therapy in patients with cirrhosis is also feasible and decompensation developed in only one of the 165 patients with cirrhosis included in 18 studies. However, a most recent study showed that two (HBeAg status not mentioned) of the 27 patients with cirrhosis developed hepatic decompensation off-therapy.[35] Therefore, more studies are needed to confirm the feasibility of stopping long-term nucleos(t)ide therapy in patients with cirrhosis. |
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