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Research Article
Complete response at first chemoembolization is still the most robust predictor for favorable outcome in hepatocellular carcinoma
Beom Kyung Kim1, 2, Seung Up Kim1, 2, , , Kyung Ah Kim5, Yong Eun Chung3, Myeong-Jin Kim3, Mi-Suk Park3, Jun Yong Park1, 2, Do Young Kim1, 2, Sang Hoon Ahn1, 2, 4, Man Deuk Kim3, Sung Il Park3, Jong Yoon Won3, Do Yun Lee3, Kwang-Hyub Han1, 2, 4
Backgrounds & Aims
The aim of this study is to evaluate the prognostic significances of not only the initial and the best response during repeated transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but if eligible, also the time point of achieving treatment responses.
Methods
Three hundred and fourteen treatment-naïve patients with well-preserved liver function undergoing TACE were recruited. Treatment responses were assessed using modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors. Overall survival (OS) was analyzed using Kaplan–Meier methods, and Cox regression analysis was performed for multivariate analysis.
Results
After adjusting other variables, objective response (complete response [CR] and partial response [PR]) as the initial response (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.410) and the best response (adjusted HR 0.335) had independent prognostic significances for OS, respectively (both p <0.001). Objective responders as the initial response had the longest OS, followed by patients who subsequently achieved objective response after at least two sessions and those who did not achieve objective response during treatment course eventually (52.6, 27.0, and 10.8 months, respectively; log-rank test, p <0.001). Likewise, patients with CR as the initial response had the longest OS, followed by those who subsequently achieved CR after at least two sessions and those who achieved PR as the best response (70.2, 40.6, and 23.0 months, respectively; log-rank test, p <0.001). Large (>5 cm) and multiple (⩾4) tumors were independently associated with failure to achieve CR after the initial TACE (both p <0.05).
Conclusion
Both the initial and the best response predicts OS effectively. However, achievement of treatment response at an early time point is still the most robust predictor for favorable outcomes.
Abbreviations
HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; TACE, transarterial chemoembolization; OS, overall survival; EASL, European Association for the Study of the Liver; mRECIST, modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors; CT, computed tomography; CR, complete response; PR, partial response; PD, progressive disease; SD, stable disease; HR, hazard ratio; IQR, interquartile range; AFP, α-fetoprotein; MELD, model for end-stage liver disease; AUROC, area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve; OR, odds ratio
Keywords
Hepatocellular carcinoma; Chemoembolization; Initial response; Best response; Prognosis
Corresponding author. Address: Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, 50-1 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-gu, Seoul 120–752, Republic of Korea. Tel.: +82 2 2228 1982; fax: +82 2 393 6884.
Copyright © 2015 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.
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