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Non-selective beta-blockers may reduce risk of hepatocellular carcinoma: a meta-analysis of randomised trials
Maja Thiele1,*,
Agustín Albillos2,
Rozeta Abazi1,
Reiner Wiest3,
Lise L. Gluud4 and
Aleksander Krag1
DOI: 10.1111/liv.12782
Vol. 35 Issue 1
Liver International
Accepted Article (Accepted, unedited articles published online and citable. The final edited and typeset version of record will appear in future.)
Author Information
1 Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark
2 Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Hospital Ramón y Cajal, University of Alcalá, IRYCIS, Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red en Enfermedades Hepáticas y Digestivas (CIBERehd), Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain
3 Department for Visceral Surgery and Medicine, University Hospital Bern, Switzerland
4 Gastrounit, Copenhagen University Hospital Hvidovre, Hvidovre, Denmark
*Corresponding author: M. Thiele, Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Odense University Hospital, Sdr. Boulevard 29, entrance 128, DK-5000 Odense, Denmark. Phone: +4565412752. Email: [email protected]
This article has been accepted for publication and undergone full peer review but has not been through the copyediting, typesetting, pagination and proofreading process, which may lead to differences between this version and the Version of Record. Please cite this article as doi: 10.1111/liv.12782
Abstract
Background & aims
Non-selective beta-blockers (NSBB) are used in patients with cirrhosis and oesophageal varices. Experimental data suggest that NSBB inhibit angiogenesis and reduce bacterial translocation, which may prevent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We therefore assessed the effect of NSBB on HCC by performing a systematic review with meta-analyses of randomised trials.
Methods
Electronic and manual searches were combined. Authors were contacted for unpublished data. Included trials assessed NSBB for patients with cirrhosis; the control group could receive any other intervention than NSBB. Fixed and random effects meta-analyses were performed with I2 as a measure of heterogeneity. Subgroup, sensitivity, regression, and sequential analyses were performed to evaluate heterogeneity, bias and the robustness of the results after adjusting for multiple testing.
Results
Twenty-three randomised trials on 2618 patients with cirrhosis were included, of which 12 reported HCC incidence and 23 reported HCC mortality. The mean duration of follow up was 26 months (range 8-82). In total, 47 of 694 patients randomized to NSBB developed HCC versus 65 of 697 controls (risk difference -0.026; 95% confidence interval -0.052 to -0.001; number needed to treat 38 patients). There was no heterogeneity (I2 = 7%) or evidence of small-study effects (Eggers P = 0.402). The result was not confirmed in sequential analysis, which suggested that 3719 patients were needed to achieve the required information size. NSBB did not reduce HCC related mortality (RD -0.011; 95% CI -0.040 to 0.017).
Conclusions
NSBB may prevent HCC in patients with cirrhosis..
This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
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