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Reappraisal of serum alpha-foetoprotein as a surveillance test for hepatocellular carcinoma during entecavir treatment
Gi-Ae Kim,
Chang Hyeon Seock,
Jang Won Park,
Jihyun An,
Kwang-Sun Lee,
Jee Eun Yang,
Young-Suk Lim,
Kang Mo Kim,
Ju Hyun Shim,
Danbi Lee and
Han Chu Lee*
Article first published online: 21 MAR 2014
DOI: 10.1111/liv.12516
© 2014 John Wiley & Sons A/S. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd
Issue
Liver International
Volume 35, Issue 1, pages 232–239, January 2015
Author Information
Department of Gastroenterology, Liver Center, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
* Correspondence
Han Chu Lee, MD, Professor
Department of Gastroenterology
Asan Medical Center
University of Ulsan College of Medicine,
88, Olympic-ro 43-gil
Songpa-gu
Seoul 138-736, Korea
Tel: +82-2-3010-3915
Fax: +82-2-485-5782
e-mail: [email protected]
Gi-Ae Kim and Chang Hyeon Seock contributed equally to this study and share first authorship.
Abstract
Background & Aims
The aim of this study was to re-evaluate the diagnostic performance of alpha-foetoprotein (AFP) as a surveillance test for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with hepatitis B virus-related chronic liver disease who were treated with entecavir (ETV).
Methods
Between January 2007 and August 2012, we analysed 373 treatment-naïve patients with HBV-related chronic hepatitis (n = 229) or cirrhosis (n = 144) who were candidates for surveillance test, and were treated with ETV (0.5 mg/day) for longer than 12 months. To minimize the effect of AFP elevation caused by hepatitis activity, serum AFP levels were measured 12 months after the initiation of ETV treatment.
Results
Hepatocellular carcinoma developed in 28 patients (7.5%) during a median follow-up period of 48.0 months (IQR = 40.5–57.3 months). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for AFP was 0.71 (95% CI = 0.59–0.84). The optimal AFP cut-off value was 13 ng/ml, leading to a sensitivity of 50.0%, specificity of 98.8%, positive predictive value of 77.8% and negative predictive value of 96.1%. In multivariate Cox analysis, an older age, the presence of cirrhosis and AFP levels of ≥20 ng/ml at 12 months after treatment were found to be significantly associated with an increased incidence of HCC.
Conclusions
The role of serum AFP as a surveillance test should be re-evaluated in patients with HBV-related chronic liver diseases who were treated with antiviral therapy.
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