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Nucleos(t)ide Analogs-Based Chemoprevention of Liver Cancer in Hepatitis B Patients: Effective, Yet in Search of Optimization
Pietro Lampertico
,
Massimo Colombo
published online 20 September 2013.
Philip S. Schoenfeld, Section Editor, John Y. Kao, Section Editor
Hosaka T, Suzuki F, Kobayashi M, et al. Long-term entecavir (ETV) treatment reduces hepatocellular carcinoma incidence in patients with hepatitis B virus infection. Hepatology 2013;58:98–107.
Hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a prototype of inflammation-associated cancer occurring in a mitogenic and mutagenic environment. The HBV-infected liver undergoes rounds of necrosis and regeneration caused by the humoral and cell-mediated immune attack to persistently infected hepatocytes (Nat Rev Cancer 2006;6:674–687). Owing to the key role of HBV replication in liver carcinogenesis, pharmacologic suppression of HBV has repeatedly been attempted to prevent liver cancer. Indeed, development of cirrhosis is the most important predictor of HCC and long-term administration of nucleot(s)ide (NUC) analogs has been shown to attenuate progression of cirrhosis, reverse cirrhosis, and prevent decompensation in cirrhotics (Hepatology 2009;50:661–662; Hepatol Int 2012;6:531–561; J Hepatol 2012;57:167–185). On the contrary, it is still debated whether HCC can be prevented after long-term pharmacologic suppression of HBV. This is because antiviral therapy may not prevent integration of sequences of HBV DNA, which could lead to establishment of liver cell clones committed to carcinogenesis and this phenomena will not be impacted by antiviral therapy. Another disputed point of HCC chemoprevention is the partial efficacy of lamivudine or adefovir therapy as a consequence of the high rates of treatment related drug resistance. This has fueled hopes that high genetic barrier NUC analogs might minimize HBV-related HCC because these agents suppress HBV replication while being well tolerated and safe. Although potent third-generation agents, such as ETV and tenofovir, inactivate some of the virus-related risk factors for HCC, it is unclear whether chemoprevention of HCC with these agents may be overcome by co-factors, such as specific patient-related factors and exposure to alcohol, tobacco and aflatoxin.
The case-control study conducted by Hosaka et al in Japan analyzed patients’ response to ETV after patient stratification for cancer risk variables. The investigators compared the incidence of HCC in 316 patients with chronic hepatitis B who received ETV for 5 years with 316 untreated controls in the last 4 decades in a single hospital center. They used a propensity score matching model to mitigate confoundings due to pretreatment predictors of HCC. The study found that the 5-year risk of liver cancer was higher in untreated than in treated cirrhotics (39% vs 7%; P < .001), whereas it was unaffected in the larger group of noncirrhotic patients with chronic hepatitis B (2.5% vs 3.6%; P = .440). After patient stratification with HCC risk scores for untreated HBV-infected Asians, ETV was found to have stronger chemopreventive effects than first-generation lamivudine in high-risk patients, but not low-risk patients. These observations provided useful insights for optimizing NUC therapy in Japanese patients with chronic hepatitis B.
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Comment
The long debated question about whether HCC risk in HBV-infected patients is attenuated once HBV becomes permanently suppressed by NUC seems to have been partially answered by the case-control study of Hosaka et al in Japan. Indeed, a 5-year treatment period with ETV resulted in full suppression of HBV in virtually all clinically compensated cirrhotics. Also, a 5.5-fold reduction in HCC compared with historical controls of untreated cirrhotics was observed after controlling for a number of pretreatment predictors of tumor risk. This remarkable outcome of NUC therapy is somehow tarnished by the lack of efficacy of ETV chemoprevention in noncirrhotic HBV patients who maintained virologic response to treatment. This chasm between cirrhotics and noncirrhotics might be accounted for by multiple factors, including overrepresentation of the HCC risk in the historical control groups who did not have access to therapeutic algorithms of HBV, did not have accurate virologic assays, and had poorly standardized programs of surveillance. Moreover, assessment of HCC chemoprevention by ETV could have been biased by the lack of universal histologic or clinical proof of cirrhosis in patients analyzed by a propensity score matching. Mismatching of patients for pretreatment predictors of liver cancer and censoring liver cancer end points during the first year of study might have further affected the interpretation of the study outcomes as well. Also, the 10% mean yearly rate of HCC observed in untreated cirrhotics is puzzling because it exceeds previous reports in cirrhotics in Asia. Uncertainties in the interpretation of the study outcomes might reflect the limited time frame of the study as 5 years of HBV suppression might not be sufficient to overcome the multistep and complex carcinogenic process caused, promoted, and expanded by the interplay of host and virus related factors over several decades of HBV infection. Although all these black holes of NUC chemoprevention of HBV-related HCC could more appropriately be solved by a randomized, controlled study, this is probably unfeasible for both practical and ethical reasons, mainly as a consequence of the recognized clinical benefits of NUCs to slow development of fibrosis and portal hypertension. Nevertheless, the lesson learned by the study by Hosaka et al is clear. First, because HCC cannot fully be prevented by successful NUC therapy in HBV patients, surveillance for HCC is mandatory in all treated patients. Second, the lack of chemoprevention in noncirrhotic patients with chronic hepatitis B challenges the practice of starting anti HBV therapy in young patients with mild chronic hepatitis B with the sole aim of reducing cancer risk.
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