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Hepatology International
June 2013, Volume 7, Issue 2, pp 489-499
Combining the HBsAg decline and HBV DNA levels predicts clinical outcomes
in patients with spontaneous HBeAg seroconversion
Shih-Cheng Yang,
Sheng-Nan Lu,
Chuan-Mo Lee,
Tsung-Hui Hu,
Jing-Houng Wang,
Chao-Hung Hung,
Chi-Sin Chang,
Chien-Hung Chen
Abstract
Purpose
The aim was to investigate whether the quantitation of the hepatitis B
surface antigen (HBsAg) and hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA levels can predict
HBV reactivation and advanced liver disease after spontaneous hepatitis B e
antigen (HBeAg) seroconversion.
Methods
A total of 121 patients who experienced spontaneous HBeAg seroconversion
were included in this longitudinal study. Serial HBsAg and HBV DNA levels
were measured before and after HBeAg seroconversion.
Results
Of the 121 patients, 32 experienced HBV reactivation and six achieved an
HBsAg loss after HBeAg seroconversion during the follow-up period. The
decline in the HBsAg level was considerably more pronounced in patients
without HBV reactivation when compared to those with HBV reactivation (p =
0.016). Multivariate analysis revealed that the age of>40 years at HBeAg
seroconversion, male sex, and HBsAg decline, and HBV DNA levels at month 12
after HBeAg seroconversion were independent factors for the development of
HBeAg-negative hepatitis. All the six patients who achieved HBsAg loss had
HBsAg level of <1,000 IU/mL at month 12 after HBeAg seroconversion (p <
0.001). The risk of HBeAg-negative hepatitis, cirrhosis, and HCC was
substantially increased in patients who had a combination of both, i.e., no
decline in the HBsAg level and HBV DNA level of>104 copies/mL at month 12
after HBeAg seroconversion.
Conclusions
Combining HBsAg reduction and HBV DNA levels at month 12 after HBeAg
seroconversion was a useful marker to predict clinical outcomes in
spontaneous HBeAg seroconverters. HBsAg level of <1,000 IU/mL at month 12
after HBeAg seroconversion could predict the HBsAg loss after HBeAg
seroconversion.
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