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本帖最后由 风雨不动 于 2012-4-14 14:41 编辑
Quantitative HBeAg Is The Best Predictor Of HBeAg Seroconversion
S. Lim1, 2; A. Myat Oo1; Y. Cheng2; B. Seet2
1. Dept of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore.
2. Dept of Medicine, Yong Yoo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore.
INTRODUCTION: We hypothesize that HBV quasispecies play an important role in pathogenesis of HBeAg seroconversion based on our finding that patients who undergo HBeAg seroconversion have significantly increased HBV viral quasispecies evolution and viral diversity before HBeAg seroconversion (Lim etal. Gastroenterology 2007;133: 951-8). In this study we sought to determine virological factors that could predict seroconversion. We therefore explored the potential of viral diversity and other viral markers (HBeAg levels, precore stop codon frequency, viral load and genotype) as baseline predictors of HBeAg seroconversion.
METHODS: A total of 42 HBeAg seroconverters and 25 non-HBeAg seroconverters whose pre-seroconversion serum was available were included. Genotyping was performed using restriction fragment length polymorphisms. The HBeAg levels were quantified using the HBeAg ELISA kit (Architect, Abbott Labs) and the Paul-Ehrlich (PE) reference standard,and expressed as Paul-Ehrlich International Units (PE IU/ml). PCR, cloning and sequencing of precore/core gene for HBV DNA from these patients were carried out (>20 clones/sample sequenced). Sequences excluding overlapping regions were aligned using ClustalX and the viral diversity was accessed using Pebble 1.0. Statistical analysis was performed with SPSSv18 using Mann Whitney U test, Chi squared test and multivariate Cox regression. RESULTS: Thirty-four of 42 seroconverters were non-genotype C compared to 11/25 non-seroconverters (p=0.005). Seroconverters compared to non-seroconverters had fewer males, 55% v 88%)(p=0.007), lower HBeAg titres 675 v 1846 PE IU/ml (p=0.006), higher viral diversity, 1.1x10-2 v 5.8x10-3 substitutions/site (p=0.001), more precore stop codon mutants 27.3% v 1.3% (p<0.001), lower HBV DNA, 6.9 v 7.7 log10copies/ml (p=0.013). Using multivariate Cox regression to correct for the differences in time before seroconversion, HBeAg titre was the only significant independent predictor of HBeAg seroconversion, hazard ratio 1.75 (95%CI 1.2 – 2.6, p=0.006).
CONCLUSION: Of all the virological factors examined, HBeAg titre was the only independent predictor of HBeAg seroconversion. Validation in larger studies would be important before this marker could be utilised in the clinic.
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