本帖最后由 StephenW 于 2011-8-20 17:10 编辑
This is an extract from the following paper. The complete paper is available at:
http://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/741368
From Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology
Natural History of Chronic Hepatitis B REVEALedChien-Jen Chen; Hwai-I Yang Authors and Disclosures Posted: 05/12/2011; J Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2011;26(4):628-638. © 2011 Blackwell Publishing Annual Rate and Predictors of HBeAg, HBV DNA and HBsAg Seroclearance
Seroclearance of HBeAg, HBV DNA, and HBsAg are important clinical outcomes for chronic hepatitis B treatment trials. Few studies have explored the incidence and determinants of spontaneous seroclearance using a long-term follow-up study. The annual seroclearance rates of HBeAg, HBV DNA and HBsAg have been estimated, respectively, for 439 HBeAg-seropositive participants with serum HBV DNA level ≥ 10 000 copies/mL, 1289 participants with serum HBV DNA level ≥ 10 000 copies/mL at enrollment, and 3087 HBsAg-seropositives in REVEAL-HBV study.[27–30] The annual seroclearance rate was 5.92% for HBeAg, 1.97% for HBV DNA, and 2.26% for HBsAg. The annual HBeAg seroclearance rate for HBeAg-seropositive participants who had serum HBV DNA levels ≥ 100 000 000 copies/mL was 4.44%.[28,29] The annual HBV DNA seroclearance rate after the seroclearance of HBeAg was 3.20%.[27] The annual HBsAg seroclearance rate after the seroclearance of HBV DNA was around 6%. In other words, the cumulative incidence of HBsAg seroclearance at 60 and 100 months after serum HBV-DNA level decreased to undetectable was 25.8% and 51.3%, respectively.[30]
Significantly higher HBeAg seroclearance rates were observed for female gender, elevated serum ALT level at entry (≥ 45 vs < 45 IU), low serum HBV DNA level (< 100 000 vs≥ 100 000 copies/mL), HBV genotype B/B + C (vs genotype C), and HBV precore G1896A mutant (vs wild type). The predictors of seroclearance of HBV DNA included low serum HBV DNA level (< 100 000 copies/mL) and central obesity (waist circumference > 90 cm in men and > 80 cm in women). The HBsAg seroclearance was significantly associated with increasing age, low serum HBV DNA level (< 100 000 vs≥ 100 000 copies/mL), high body mass index (≥ 30 vs < 30 kg/m2) and ethnicity of mainland Chinese (vs ethnicity of Hakka and Fukkienese |