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http://www1.easl.eu/easl2011/program/Orals/332.htm
Background and aims: Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV)infection is a serious public health problem because of its worldwideprevalence and potential to cause adverse consequences such as livercirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Serostatus of HBV surfaceantigen (HBsAg) and e antigen (HBeAg) and serum level of HBV DNA havebeen well documented as independent risk predictors of HCC. This studyaims to assess the importance of the seroclearance of HBV DNA, HBeAgand HBsAg in the prediction of subsequent reduction of HCC risk.
Methods: Basedon a prospective community-based cohort study, a total of 1285individuals with baseline serum HBV DNA levels ≥10,000 copies/mL wereenrolled in 1991-1992 and followed up until December 31st,2007. Serum samples collected at baseline and follow-up examinationswere tested for HBsAg, HBeAg, and serum HBV DNA level. Time-dependentCox proportional hazards models were used to estimatemultivariate-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals(CI) of developing HCC associated with HBsAg seroclearance, HBeAgseroclearance and HBV DNA seroclearance. The Kaplan-Meier method wasused to examine the cumulative probability of developing HCC associatedwith the seroclearance of various HBV infection markers.
Results: Among1285 participants included in this analysis, 111 newly diagnosed casesof HCC occurred during 19,321 person-years of follow-up. Seroclearanceof serum HBV DNA to undetectable levels was the most importantpredictor of the reduction of HCC risk, showing a multivariate-adjustedHR (95% CI) of 0.28 (0.08-0.98). There was no significant difference inHCC risk between participants with and without HBeAg seroclearance(multivariate-adjusted HR [95% CI] of 0.85 [0.53-1.36]), or betweenparticipants with and without HBsAg seroclearance(multivariate-adjusted HR [95% CI] of 0.73 [0.09-6.25]), afteradjustment for HBV DNA seroclearance. Among participants withseroclearance of HBV DNA, there was no difference in HCC risk betweenthose with and without HBsAg seroclearance, showing a cumulative HCCincidence of 1.6% and 1.9%, respectively (P=0.89).
Conclusions: Decreasingserum HBV DNA level to undetectable is the most important predictor ofreduced HCC risk. This finding has significant implications for theclinical treatment of chronic hepatitis B. |
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